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2024-12-13 16:31:13
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Let's briefly talk about yesterday's personal pension and heavy meeting that exceeded expectations, as well as the impact on A shares. Of course, it is purely personal and for reference only!Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:4, a relatively new formulation, new quality productivity+AI; There is also involution competition governance; Promoting fertility has not been mentioned before.


3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.Recently, domestic-funded institutions have made a large net outflow continuously, and the entry of mysterious funds is not continuous. Therefore, Lao Liu judged that once the incremental funds are insufficient to follow the trend, the market is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, so don't chase after it in the short term, especially in terms of consumption!3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.


Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.Generally speaking, I will pay attention to one point today. Let's see if we can stand at 3489.78 points at the close. If we stand up, it will be dangerous, and the daily line will have a double deviation structure! If you can't stand up, then the small high point suppression still exists here, and the market will continue to fluctuate and adjust the structure with great probability! Just remember one thing, don't chase after short-term gains!Yesterday, A-shares were still a scene of the resonance of individual stocks and indexes falling back in early trading. As a result, when the news of personal pension at 11 o'clock came out, the market directly exploded! Big finance, which directly benefited, took the lead, not only pulled up the index, but also continued to repair the stocks in the afternoon. Yesterday, it rose again and broke the curse of Black Thursday.

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